Special Issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) Transmission

Published 27 February, 2020

Special Issue Edited by Professor Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Professor Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Professor Ping Yan, Professor Jianhong Wu

All papers are freely available and will be made live online as soon they are published.

Dr. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, mathematical epidemiologist and Editorial Board Member of Infectious Disease Modelling, was also recently interviewed by STAT for an article on Covid-19. 

Once widely criticized, the Wuhan quarantine bought the world time to prepare for Covid-19
Could cause panic.” “Will not help end the crisis.” “Could backfire.”

When the Chinese government blocked most travel into and out of the city at the center of the Covid-19 outbreak in late January, many public health experts took to social media and op-ed pages to decry the measure as not only draconian and a violation of individual rights but also as ineffective: This largest quarantine in history — the city, Wuhan, has a population of 11 million, and the lockdown has been expanded — would have little effect on the course of the epidemic, they argued.

As the U.S. and other countries imposed travel restrictions, even the World Health Organization questioned whether they were a good idea. But early evidence is causing some disease fighters to reconsider.

Read the full STAT article.

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