Limited nonlinearity of joint ENSO–QBO effects from the stratosphere to the troposphere
July 2026
Previous studies have explored the possible impact of joint El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)–Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) forcings on the northern winter stratospheric circulation. This study...
Southwestward propagation mechanism of the 10–30-day oscillation along the eastern coast of East Asia in summer
July 2026
Intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in mid and high latitudes is primarily characterized by zonal propagation on a global scale. However, in the Eurasian mid- and high-latitude regions, a distinct 10–30-day...
Heatwaves induce blood pressure elevations in elderly hypertensive populations: Evidence from a panel study
July 2026
Climate change has intensified extreme heat events, increasing cardiovascular risk, especially among older individuals with hypertension, due to compromised thermoregulation and vascular function. This...
Tropical cyclone intensity prediction based on Kolmogorov–Arnold networks with predictor pruning optimization
July 2026
Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation and public safety. However, current TC intensity prediction models are facing significant challenges, including...
Simulation of convective turbulent dust emissions over Horqin Sandy Land, China
July 2026
Dust emissions play a crucial role in Earth’s climate system. Although convective turbulent dust emissions (CTDE) are less intense than saltation bombardment dust emissions (SADE), their high frequency...
Tripolar trends in tropical cyclone precipitation along the western rim of the western North Pacific from 1999 to 2018
July 2026
This study identifies a tripolar pattern of tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) trends in the western rim of the western North Pacific from 1999 to 2018, significantly impacting regional summer precipitation....
Prediction of the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon based on machine learning
July 2026
Accurately predicting the onset of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon (SCSSM) is crucial for agricultural planning and disaster prevention for countries surrounding the SCS. However, due to the...
Climatic drivers of summer run-of-river hydropower generation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Synergistic effects of subtropical westerly jet dynamics and transregional teleconnections
July 2026
Based on ERA5 reanalysis and CN05.1 gridded observational datasets, this study investigates key meteorological drivers and cross-seasonal mechanisms influencing summer (June–July–August) run-of-river...
An interdecadal shift of India–Burma trough in spring around 2000 and its possible reason
July 2026
This study reveals that the strength of the springtime India–Burma trough (IBT) exhibits a notable interdecadal change around the early 2000s. Before the early 2000s, the IBT is closely related with...
Anisotropic modeling of CO2 turbulent flux in a stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer
July 2026
Anisotropic turbulence induced by stable thermal stratification results in variable parameterization coefficients for the buoyancy term in higher-order closure schemes. This study introduces an anisotropic...
Vortex Rossby wave phase-locking as a driver of tropical cyclone track oscillations in negative helicity environments
July 2026
This study uses idealized numerical experiments to investigate the mechanisms underlying trochoidal oscillations in tropical cyclone (TC) tracks under conditions of negative TC-relative environmental...
Sensitivity of MJO simulation to the convective adjustment timescale in CAM6
July 2026
Previous studies have shown that simulating the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in general circulation models (GCMs) can be greatly improved by adjusting the convective adjustment timescale (tau), a...
Significantly improved representation of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation in the CMA-RA V1.5 reanalysis dataset
July 2026
CRA-40 and CMA-RA V1.5 are two sets of global atmospheric reanalysis data released successively by the China Meteorological Administration. Previous studies have indicated that CRA-40 is inadequate...
Simulated carbon cycle response to ocean iron fertilization and artificial ocean alkalinization
July 2026
Ocean iron fertilization (OIF) and artificial ocean alkalinization (AOA) are two proposed ocean-based carbon dioxide removal methods to mitigate the effects of anthropogenic climate change. In this...
Effects of K-profile parameterization on nonhydrostatic internal lee waves over a supercritical sill: The role of boundary-layer mixing
Available online 2 July 2026
Using the coupled Marine Environment Research and Forecasting Model and General Ocean Turbulence Model (MERF–GOTM), this study examines how K-profile parameterization (KPP) influences nonhydrostatic...
How well does the ERA5 reanalysis represent the integrated kinetic energy of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific?
Available online 29 June 2026
Integrated kinetic energy (IKE) has emerged as a valuable metric for quantifying the destructive potential of tropical cyclones by incorporating both intensity and storm size. This study evaluates the...
Key physical processes of the 2024 La Niña suppression from the perspective of air–sea antagonism
Available online 29 June 2026
Many climate models significantly overestimated the likelihood of a 2024 La Niña, revealing a substantial challenge in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction. This study employs an ENSO ensemble...
Microphysical characteristics of different deep convective precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau
Available online 25 June 2026
Investigating the microphysics of deep convection over complex terrain is crucial to improving the accuracy of severe weather forecasting. The microphysical three-dimensional properties of different...
Ozone layer recovery weakens the Antarctic tundra carbon sink
Available online 22 June 2026
The accelerated healing of the Antarctic ozone hole is leading to a steady decline in ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth’s surface. Yet, the impacts of UV radiation reduction on carbon fluxes...
Distinguishing the drivers of strong versus weak cold air outbreaks: A Lagrangian energy budget perspective
Available online 22 June 2026
Cold air outbreaks (CAOs) have substantial impacts on public health, energy demand, and transportation. Here, we identify strong and weak CAO days during boreal winters over 1979–2022 across three major...
Influence of model vertical resolution on simulation of methane in the lowermost stratosphere
Available online 22 June 2026
Methane, the second most important greenhouse gas, has attracted a lot of attention due to significant uncertainties in its sources and sinks. Currently, methane emission estimation relies on the inverse...
Climate state of the Three Gorges Region in the Yangtze River Basin in 2025
Available online 16 June 2026
In 2025, the annual average temperature in the Three Gorges Region (TGR) of the Yangtze River basin was 1.1°C higher than the 1991–2020 climatological average, being the second warmest year since 1961....
Contrasting austral summer Southern Hemisphere circulation trends before and after the recovery of Antarctic stratospheric ozone
Available online 8 June 2026
Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion drove pronounced changes in Southern Hemisphere (SH) austral summer circulation in the late 20th century, while its recovery since the early 2000s has been accompanied...
The abrupt jumping western periphery of the western North Pacific subtropical high exerts a modulating influence on rainfall regimes over North China
Available online 6 June 2026
Double rain belts are a unique yet poorly understood weather phenomenon over North China. This study investigates a double-rain-belt event over North China (23–28 July 2025) to elucidate the controlling...
Changing interactions between the Pacific Decadal Variability and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in the past millennium
Available online 5 June 2026
The Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV) and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) are key modes of decadal climate variability. Instrumental records suggest that PDV and AMV can modulate each other,...
