Evaluation of the Pangu model in forecasting rapid intensification of tropical cyclones
September 2026
To validate the Pangu model’s forecasting capability for the rapid intensification (RI) process of tropical cyclones (TCs), forecasts of different RI/non-RI TCs were produced both by the Weather Research...
A novel stepwise regression method for predicting September Pan-Arctic sea-ice extent: Comparison with long short-term memory neural networks
September 2026
Accurately forecasting the Pan-Arctic sea-ice extent (SIE) in September is crucial for understanding climate change impacts and ensuring safe Arctic navigation. This study introduces the SWR DY-method,...
Improving hail nowcasting using multi-source data and a WMHDA-enhanced DIFF-Transformer
September 2026
HailPre is a deep learning framework developed for accurate 60-minute hail nowcasting at 10-minute intervals, tailored for regions with complex terrain and imbalanced hail event distributions. It integrates...
Tibetan Plateau darkening exacerbates summer heatwaves through land–atmosphere feedbacks
September 2026
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has experienced significant surface darkening under global warming, concurrent with an increase in TP heatwave occurrences in recent decades. Using reanalysis data, the authors...
Warming of the northern tropical Atlantic intensifies aridity in southeastern Africa
September 2026
October precipitation in southeastern Africa (SEA) is crucial as it marks the initiation of agricultural and hydrological activities. This study investigates the mechanism linking warming sea surface...
Remote influence of the subtropical westerlies on the track of tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal
September 2026
This study investigates the remote influence of the subtropical westerlies on the tracks of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Bay of Bengal (BOB) from 1979 to 2019, combining statistical analysis and numerical...
Impacts of isolated hills on daytime shallow convective clouds in southeastern China
September 2026
Shallow-convective clouds (SCCs) play important roles in the Earth system. Previous studies have mostly focused on SCCs over the oceans or over the plains. This study, however, focused on SCCs over...
On the interpretability and CO2 sensitivity of machine learning–based stomatal conductance models
September 2026
Stomatal conductance (gs), which quantifies the openness of stomata in leaves, is a critical parameter for modeling transpiration in land surface models. While machine learning (ML) approaches may improve...
On adiabatic heat sources/sinks driving the heating/cooling of a single column of compressible atmosphere
September 2026
A theoretical description of adiabatic sources and sinks of heat in the atmosphere is presented, based on a simplified analytical solution to the problem of equilibrium in a single column of compressible...
Seasonal variability of the Agulhas Front’s position and intensity: Insights from satellite-derived sea surface temperature and chlorophyll-a concentration data
September 2026
Frontal zones function both as thermal boundaries demarcating water masses and as ecological transition zones. This study proposes a “range–gradient” methodology to investigate the seasonal variability...
Buoyancy component coefficient in second-order closure models for scalar fluxes in stable boundary layers
September 2026
The absence of a theoretical description of the stability dependence of the buoyancy component coefficient poses challenges for parameterizing turbulent transport in stably stratified atmospheric boundary...
Limited nonlinearity of joint ENSO–QBO effects from the stratosphere to the troposphere
July 2026
Previous studies have explored the possible impact of joint El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)–Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) forcings on the northern winter stratospheric circulation. This study...
Southwestward propagation mechanism of the 10–30-day oscillation along the eastern coast of East Asia in summer
July 2026
Intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in mid and high latitudes is primarily characterized by zonal propagation on a global scale. However, in the Eurasian mid- and high-latitude regions, a distinct 10–30-day...
Heatwaves induce blood pressure elevations in elderly hypertensive populations: Evidence from a panel study
July 2026
Climate change has intensified extreme heat events, increasing cardiovascular risk, especially among older individuals with hypertension, due to compromised thermoregulation and vascular function. This...
Tropical cyclone intensity prediction based on Kolmogorov–Arnold networks with predictor pruning optimization
July 2026
Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation and public safety. However, current TC intensity prediction models are facing significant challenges, including...
Simulation of convective turbulent dust emissions over Horqin Sandy Land, China
July 2026
Dust emissions play a crucial role in Earth’s climate system. Although convective turbulent dust emissions (CTDE) are less intense than saltation bombardment dust emissions (SADE), their high frequency...
Tripolar trends in tropical cyclone precipitation along the western rim of the western North Pacific from 1999 to 2018
July 2026
This study identifies a tripolar pattern of tropical cyclone precipitation (TCP) trends in the western rim of the western North Pacific from 1999 to 2018, significantly impacting regional summer precipitation....
Prediction of the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon based on machine learning
July 2026
Accurately predicting the onset of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon (SCSSM) is crucial for agricultural planning and disaster prevention for countries surrounding the SCS. However, due to the...
Climatic drivers of summer run-of-river hydropower generation in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River Basin: Synergistic effects of subtropical westerly jet dynamics and transregional teleconnections
July 2026
Based on ERA5 reanalysis and CN05.1 gridded observational datasets, this study investigates key meteorological drivers and cross-seasonal mechanisms influencing summer (June–July–August) run-of-river...
An interdecadal shift of India–Burma trough in spring around 2000 and its possible reason
July 2026
This study reveals that the strength of the springtime India–Burma trough (IBT) exhibits a notable interdecadal change around the early 2000s. Before the early 2000s, the IBT is closely related with...
Anisotropic modeling of CO2 turbulent flux in a stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer
July 2026
Anisotropic turbulence induced by stable thermal stratification results in variable parameterization coefficients for the buoyancy term in higher-order closure schemes. This study introduces an anisotropic...
Vortex Rossby wave phase-locking as a driver of tropical cyclone track oscillations in negative helicity environments
July 2026
This study uses idealized numerical experiments to investigate the mechanisms underlying trochoidal oscillations in tropical cyclone (TC) tracks under conditions of negative TC-relative environmental...
Sensitivity of MJO simulation to the convective adjustment timescale in CAM6
July 2026
Previous studies have shown that simulating the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in general circulation models (GCMs) can be greatly improved by adjusting the convective adjustment timescale (tau), a...
Significantly improved representation of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation in the CMA-RA V1.5 reanalysis dataset
July 2026
CRA-40 and CMA-RA V1.5 are two sets of global atmospheric reanalysis data released successively by the China Meteorological Administration. Previous studies have indicated that CRA-40 is inadequate...
Simulated carbon cycle response to ocean iron fertilization and artificial ocean alkalinization
July 2026
Ocean iron fertilization (OIF) and artificial ocean alkalinization (AOA) are two proposed ocean-based carbon dioxide removal methods to mitigate the effects of anthropogenic climate change. In this...