Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Rainfall and Flooding Hazards and Impacts
Available online 7 June 2023
This review summarizes the rapporteur report on advances in monitoring and forecasting of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) and its impact during 2014-18, as presented to the 10th International...
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Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Wind Hazards and Impacts: Summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10)
Available online 4 June 2023
In this paper, we summarize findings from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10) subgroup on forecasting wind hazards and impacts. We found that new approaches to TC wind hazard...
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Advances in Tropical Cyclone Prediction on Subseasonal Time Scales during 2019–2022
Available online 4 June 2023
This review describes advances in understanding and forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) subseasonal variability during the past four years. A large effort by the scientific community has been in understanding...
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Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes and Impacts: Report from IWTC-X
Available online 3 June 2023
This report synthesizes global tropical cyclone (TC) tornado research and operation practices to date. Tornadoes are one of the secondary (and lesser researched) hazards contributing to the devastation...
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Recent Advancements in Aircraft and In Situ Observations of Tropical Cyclones
Available online 2 June 2023
Observations of tropical cyclones (TC) from aircraft and in situ platforms provide critical and unique information for analyzing and forecasting TC intensity, structure, track, and their associated...
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A review of recent advances (2018-2021) on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives, Part 1: Dynamical model guidance
Available online 12 May 2023
This review summarizes the rapporteur report on tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change from the operational perspective, as presented to the 10th International Workshop on TCs (IWTC-10) held in Bali,...
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A review of recent advances (2018-2021) on tropical cyclone intensity change from operational perspectives, Part 2: Forecasts by Operational Centers
Available online 10 May 2023
This paper summarizes the progress and activities of tropical cyclone (TC) operational forecast centers during the last four years (2018-2021). It is part II of the review on TC intensity change from...
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Track Forecast: Operational Capability and New Techniques - Summary from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10)
Available online 9 May 2023
In this paper, we summarize findings from the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10) subgroup on operational track forecasting techniques and capability....
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Research Advances on Internal Processes Affecting Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change from 2018–2022
Available online 8 May 2023
This contribution summarizes the significant progress in a variety of topic areas related to internal tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change processes over 2018–2022 from the WMO Tenth International...
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The World Meteorological Organization Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10): A Summary
Available online 4 May 2023
The Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10) occurred from 5-9 December 2022 in Bali, Indonesia. This workshop continued the goal of the original IWTC, held in 1985 in Bangkok, Thailand,...
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Application of high-level environmental field factor in TC's sudden recurvature process
December 2022
Using the 6-hourly reanalysis data of European Center ERA-Interim with horizontal resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° and hourly typhoon operational data provided by the CMA (China Meteorological Administration),...
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Understanding the impact of sustainable land-scape management practices on farm productivity under intensifying tropical cyclones: Evidence from Southern Malawi
December 2022
Southern Malawi is continuously affected by tropical cyclone-related floods (TCRFs), which have negative consequences on households' livelihoods, thereby displacing most households to neighbouring communities...
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Numerical tests for tropical cyclone track prediction by the global WRF model
December 2022
This work use the global WRF model containing quadruply nesting with which the highest resolution reached 10 km to simulate the typhoons landed on the coast of China in 2011. The model is driven by...
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Mapping the multi-hazards risk index for coastal block of Sundarban, India using AHP and machine learning algorithms
December 2022
Global climate change, climate extremes, and overuse of natural resources are all major contributors to the risk brought on by cyclones. In I West Bengal state of India, the Pathar Pratima Block frequently...
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Application of the rotating-convection paradigm for tropical cyclones to interpreting medicanes: An example
September 2022
The rotating-convection paradigm for tropical cyclone behaviour is shown to provide an attractive and consistent framework for interpreting the dynamics of formation and intensification of at least...
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Impact-based forecasting for improving the capacity of typhoon-related disaster risk reduction in typhoon committee region
September 2022
The two most common types of disasters caused by natural hazards in the Asia-Pacific region are floods and storms, many of them associated with typhoon (tropical cyclone) related impacts. To improve...
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Improvement of displacement error of rainfall and wind field forecast associated with landfalling tropical cyclone AMPHAN
September 2022
Spatial distribution of rainfall and wind speed forecast errors associated with landfalling tropical cyclones (TC) occur significantly due to incorrect location forecast by numerical models. Two major...
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Climate trends in tropical cyclone-induced precipitation and wind over Shanghai
September 2022
The trends in annual precipitation and wind induced by tropical cyclones (TCs) over Shanghai during the last 40 years are estimated. Results indicate that there is a significant increasing trend in...
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A historical re-analysis of the calamitous midget typhoon passing through Hong Kong on 18 September 1906 and its storm surge impact to Hong Kong
September 2022
A typhoon passed through Hong Kong suddenly and unexpectedly on 18 September 1906 (the “Typhoon 1906”) and had a disastrous impact on Victoria Harbour and its surroundings in just a couple of hours....
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Policy considerations on hurricane induced human displacement: Lessons from Cyclone Sidr and Hurricane Katrina
June 2022
Hurricane or Cyclone is an extreme environment and climate event that has both long-term and short-term impact, and produces environmental emergency displacement. This study has focused on two devastating...
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Minimal conceptual models for tropical cyclone intensification
June 2022
We examine a hierarchy of minimal conceptual models for tropical cyclone intensification. These models are framed mostly in terms of axisymmetric balance dynamics. In the first set of models, the heating...
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Review of the status of urban flood monitoring and forecasting in TC region
June 2022
With the impacts of rapid urbanization and climate change, the urban flood has increasingly become a major hazard risk faced by human being in recent decades. The catastrophic urban flood events appear...
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Verification of tropical cyclones (TC) wind structure forecasts from global NWP models and ensemble prediction systems (EPSs)
June 2022
Forecasting wind structure of tropical cyclone (TC) is vital in assessment of impact due to high winds using Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model. The usual verification technique on TC wind structure...
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Estimation of mean water vapour residence time during tropical cyclones using a Lagrangian approach
June 2022
Tropical cyclone (TC)-related rainfall mostly depends on the atmospheric moisture uptake from local and remote sources. In this study, the mean water vapour residence time (MWVRT) was computed for precipitation...
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Spatio-temporal behaviours of tropical cyclones over the bay of Bengal Basin in last five decades
March 2022
Present research is an endeavour to scrutinise the spatio-temporal climatic characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) bustle in the Bay of Bengal basin, found in RSMC-IMD data all through 1971–2020....
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