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ISSN: 1674-2834
e-ISSN: 2376-6123

Statistical seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone landfalls on Taiwan Island

Forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) activities has been a topic of great interest and research. Taiwan Island (TW) is one of the key regions that is highly exposed to TCs originated from the western North...

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Characteristics of tropical cyclone outflow over the western North Pacific

This study employs the self-organizing map method to investigate the upper-tropospheric outflow patterns of tropical cyclones (TCs) over the western North Pacific from 1979 to 2019, using the 200 hPa...

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A regional ocean–atmosphere coupled model using CMA-TRAMS and LICOM: Preliminary results for tropical cyclone gale prediction over the northern South China Sea

This paper provides a comparative analysis of the performance of a high-resolution regional ocean–atmosphere coupled model in predicting tropical cyclone (TC) gales over the northern South China Sea....

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Perspectives and challenges on the interaction between tropical cyclone precipitation and the ocean: A review

Tropical cyclone–induced heavy precipitation (TCP) can have a detrimental impact on human productivity, causing significant economic losses and even human casualties in coastal countries every year....

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Understanding the initial conditions contributing to the rapid intensification of typhoons through ensemble sensitivity analysis

While steady improvements have been achieved for the track forecasts of typhoons, there has been a lack of improvement for intensity forecasts. One challenge for intensity forecasts is to capture the...

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Westward shift of western North Pacific tropical cyclones in CMIP6-HighResMIP models

Against the backdrop of climate change, the activity of tropical cyclones (TCs) has captured widespread attention. Observational datasets indicate a declining trend in the genesis longitude of western...

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Nowcasting of cloud-to-ground lightning location and frequency based on a deep learning technique

Predicting lightning that can cause power grid trips is significant for disaster prevention. This paper integrates cloud-to-ground lightning detection, water vapor and infrared channel as well as channel...

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Relationship between the geopotential height anomalies induced by tropical cyclones and the meridional movement of the western Pacific subtropical high

The present study employs statistical analysis to investigate the relationship between the geopotential height anomalies induced by tropical cyclones (TCs) and the meridional movement of the western...

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Impacts of lateral boundary conditions from numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts

The impacts of lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) provided by numerical models and data-driven networks on convective-scale ensemble forecasts are investigated in this study. Four experiments are conducted...

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Secondary eyewall formation in upper- and lower-layer vertical wind shear simulated in idealized tropical cyclones

This study investigates the characteristics of secondary eyewall formation (SEF) in idealized tropical cyclones embedded in vertical wind shear (VWS) at different heights. The results show that upper-layer...

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U-Net: A deep-learning method for improving summer precipitation forecasts in China

A deep-learning method named U-Net was applied to improve the skill in forecasting summer (June–August) precipitation for at a one-month lead during the period 1981–2020 in China. The variables of geopotential...

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The ocean response to climate change guides both adaptation and mitigation efforts

The ocean's thermal inertia is a major contributor to irreversible ocean changes exceeding time scales that matter to human society. This fact is a challenge to societies as they prepare for the consequences...

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State of China's climate in 2023

China witnessed a warm and dry climate in 2023. The annual surface air temperature reached a new high of 10.71°C, with the hottest autumn and the second hottest summer since 1961. Meanwhile, the annual...

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Progress and future prospects of decadal prediction and data assimilation: A review

Decadal prediction, also known as “near-term climate prediction”, aims to forecast climate changes in the next 1–10 years and is a new focus in the fields of climate prediction and climate change research....

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3D DBSCAN detection and parameter sensitivity of the 2022 Yangtze river summertime heatwave and drought

Spatially and temporally accurate event detection is a precondition for exploring the mechanisms of climate extremes. To achieve this, a classical unsupervised machine learning method, the DBSCAN (Density-Based...

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More extreme-heat occurrences related to humidity in China

The co-occurrence of day and night compound heat extremes has attracted much attention because of the amplified socioeconomic and human health impacts. Based on ERA5 hourly reanalysis data, this study...

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Theory and prediction of tropical cyclones and induced precipitation

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Heat waves in summer 2022 and increasing concern regarding heat waves in general

Image, graphical abstract...

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Deep learning in extracting tropical cyclone intensity and wind radius information from satellite infrared images—A review

Tropical cyclones (TCs) seriously endanger human life and the safety of property. Real-time monitoring of TCs has been one of the focal points in meteorological studies. With the development of space...

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Changes in tropical cyclone response to the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in the western North Pacific under global warming in EC-Earth3P-HR

EC-Earth3P-HR reproduces well the observed Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) and its impacts on tropical cyclone genesis (TCG) in the western North Pacific (WNP). Hence, the historical...

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Impacts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on global fire PM2.5 during 2000–2023

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a key driver of global climate variability, profoundly influencing regional fire activities and associated pollutant emissions. This study investigates the...

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Assessment of global meteorological, hydrological and agricultural drought under future warming based on CMIP6

Quantifying the changes and propagation of drought is of great importance for regional eco-environmental safety and water-related disaster management under global warming. In this study, phase 6 of...

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Microphysical processes of the “21·7” Henan extremely heavy rainfall event as simulated with the Thompson microphysics scheme

A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that...

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State of China's climate in 2022

China experienced a warm and dry climate in 2022. The average annual surface air temperature (SAT) was 10.51°C, which was the second highest since 1961. The annual average rainfall was 606.1 mm, which...

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Prediction of ENSO using multivariable deep learning

A novel multivariable prediction system based on a deep learning (DL) algorithm, i.e., the residual neural network and pure observations, was developed to improve the prediction of the El Niño–Southern...

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