Analysis of the impacts of treatments in a HIV/AIDS and Tuberculosis co-infected population under random perturbations
Available online 15 November 2023
In this work, we study the impacts of treatments at different stages of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Tuberculosis (TB) co-infections in a population under the influence of random perturbations....
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Vaccine breakthrough and rebound infections modeling: Analysis for the United States and the ten U.S. HHS regions
September 2023
A vaccine breakthrough infection and a rebound infection cases of COVID-19 are studied and analyzed for the ten U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) regions and the United States as a...
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Simulation of optimal dose regimens of photoactivated curcumin for antimicrobial resistance pneumonia in COVID-19 patients: A modeling approach
September 2023
Secondary antimicrobial resistance bacterial (AMR) pneumonia could lead to an increase in mortality in COVID-19 patients, particularly of geriatric patients with underlying diseases. The comedication...
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Impact of climate change on dengue fever epidemics in South and Southeast Asian settings: A modelling study
September 2023
The potential for dengue fever epidemic due to climate change remains uncertain in tropical areas. This study aims to assess the impact of climate change on dengue fever transmission in four South and...
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Optimized numerical solutions of SIRDVW multiage model controlling SARS-CoV-2 vaccine roll out: An application to the Italian scenario
September 2023
In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a fundamental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of preventive political, social and pharmaceutical...
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The dynamics of the risk perception on a social network and its effect on disease dynamics
September 2023
The perceived infection risk changes individual behaviors, which further affects the disease dynamics. This perception is influenced by social communication, including surveying their social network...
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An exploration of the relationship between wastewater viral signals and COVID-19 hospitalizations in Ottawa, Canada
September 2023
Monitoring of viral signal in wastewater is considered a useful tool for monitoring the burden of COVID-19, especially during times of limited availability in testing. Studies have shown that COVID-19...
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Time delay of the appearance of a new strain can affect vaccination behavior and disease dynamics: An evolutionary explanation
September 2023
The emergence of a novel strain during a pandemic, like the current COVID-19, is a major concern to the healthcare system. The most effective strategy to control this type of pandemic is vaccination....
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EpiMix: A novel method to estimate effective reproduction number
September 2023
Transmission potential of a pathogen, often quantified by the time-varying reproduction number Rt, provides the current pace of infection for a disease and indicates whether an emerging epidemic is...
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The effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 outcomes: A heterogeneous age-related generalisation of the SEIR model
September 2023
Successive generalisations of the basic SEIR model have been proposed to accommodate the different needs of the organisations handling the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and the assessment of the public health...
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A nonlinear relapse model with disaggregated contact rates: Analysis of a forward-backward bifurcation
September 2023
Throughout the progress of epidemic scenarios, individuals in different health classes are expected to have different average daily contact behavior. This contact heterogeneity has been studied in recent...
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Mathematical modeling for Delta and Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Greece
September 2023
A compartmental, epidemiological, mathematical model was developed in order to analyze the transmission dynamics of Delta and Omicron variant, of SARS-CoV-2, in Greece. The model was parameterized twice...
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Improvement of the software for modeling the dynamics of epidemics and developing a user-friendly interface
September 2023
The challenges humanity is facing due to the Covid-19 pandemic require timely and accurate forecasting of the dynamics of various epidemics to minimize the negative consequences for public health and...
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Effects and interaction of temperature and relative humidity on the trend of influenza prevalence: A multi-central study based on 30 provinces in mainland China from 2013 to 2018
September 2023
Evidence is inefficient about how meteorological factors influence the trends of influenza transmission in different regions of China....
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Trends in disease burden of hepatitis B infection in Jiangsu Province, China, 1990–2021
September 2023
The incidence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) has decreased year by year in China after the expansion of vaccination, but there is still a high disease burden in Jiangsu Province of China....
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A two-phase fluid model for epidemic flow
September 2023
We propose a new mathematical and computational modeling framework that incorporates fluid dynamics to study the spatial spread of infectious diseases. We model the susceptible and infected populations...
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An immuno-epidemiological model for transient immune protection: A case study for viral respiratory infections
September 2023
The dynamics of infectious disease in a population critically involves both within-host pathogen replication and between host pathogen transmission. While modeling efforts have recently explored how...
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Behavioral aspects and the transmission of Monkeypox: A novel approach to determine the probability of transmission for sexually transmissible diseases
September 2023
Motivated by the 2022 worldwide Monkeypox (MPox) outbreak, a compartmental model is proposed to predict the evolution of the disease. Numerous models have been proposed for infectious diseases so far,...
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Global asymptotic stability in a pseudorabies virus model with age structure
September 2023
Pseudorabies is a highly contagious disease caused by pseudorabies virus (PRV) or suid herpesvirus 1 (SuHV1), causing significant economic losses to the swine industry in countries where the disease...
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Qualitative analysis of a reaction-diffusion SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and partial immunity
September 2023
In this paper, a reaction-diffusion SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and partial immunity in a spatially heterogeneous environment is proposed. The well-posedness of the solution is...
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Equitable bivalent booster allocation strategies against emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in US cities with large Hispanic communities: The case of El Paso County, Texas
September 2023
COVID-19 is a disease that disproportionately impacts the Hispanic population, due to the prevalence of certain risk factors and the high number of essential workers in this community. In this work,...
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Early estimation of the number of hidden HIV infected subjects: An extended Kalman filter approach
June 2023
In the last decades several epidemic emergencies have been affecting the world, influencing the social relationships, the economics and the habits. In particular, starting in the early ′80, the Acquired...
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SARS-CoV-2: Air pollution highly correlated to the increase in mortality. The case of Guadalajara, Jalisco, México
June 2023
To determine whether air pollution or changes in SARS-CoV-2 lineages lead to an increase in mortality....
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Role of vector resistance and grafting infection in Huanglongbing control models
June 2023
Citrus huanglongbing (HLB) is one of the most devastating diseases affecting citrus almost worldwide due to the lack of a cure. To better understand the impact of insecticide resistance and grafting...
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The convergence epidemic volatility index (cEVI) as an alternative early warning tool for identifying waves in an epidemic
June 2023
This manuscript introduces the convergence Epidemic Volatility Index (cEVI), a modification of the recently introduced Epidemic Volatility Index (EVI), as an early warning tool for emerging epidemic...
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